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Firstly, saying religion being off topic is incorrect in reference to the matrix. The Matrix has elements of EVERYTHING in it. I dont think there is an element of anything that could not be identified in the films. However, religion is a huge part of it.
Also, while Neo did need to die [in the matrix] to realise that he is the One, Jesus did not need to die to get his Jesus (ok God, Son of) powers. The point of Neo dying is twofold. Firstly, it allows Trinity to tell her prophecy, and so Neo realises he is the One.
Also, his dying in the false reality allows him to realise by himself that what happens in the Matrix isnt real, because if he can come back to life, he can do pretty much anything. The whole reference to Christ thing isnt why he died, but helps to explain it.
Why can't Smith see into the future, ie what happens if he combines with Neo? Its almost right what you said. The Oracle says, "No one can see past the choices they dont understand". Smith doesn't understand the choices before him, and so he cannot see past them. The Oracle understood her choice to let Smith take control of her. Its also why Neo keeps fighting, he understands that if he stops, everyone will be killed. However, when Smith says, "Everything that has a beginning, has an end, Neo", Neo understands that the only way to stop the War is for someone to stop fighting. Also, if the Oracle knew the consequences and let herself be taken over, Neo trusted her, and understood that he had to stop fighting.
I am rambling now.
Welcome young one,
Titan
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"Have you ever had a dream"
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